Poll shows Democrats ahead in Virginia congressional races

(The Center Square) – Democrats lead Republicans by 20 points in a new statewide poll of likely Virginia voters ahead of November’s congressional elections.

State Navigate’s survey, published Thursday, found 59% favored a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives, compared with 39% who favored a Republican. Another 3% were undecided.

Percentages may not total 100% because of rounding.

Respondents chose between parties’ candidates rather than named candidates. The statewide results do not establish who leads in individual congressional districts.

Among respondents who said they had already voted, Democrats led 72%-28%. Among those who had not voted, 51% favored Democrats and 44% favored Republicans.

Overall, 36% of likely voters said they had cast a ballot, compared with 28% in State Navigate’s survey conducted on the same dates last year.

Voters with at least a four-year college degree favored Democrats 71%-27%. Those without a four-year degree favored Republicans 51%-45%.

President Donald Trump received 35% approval and 64% disapproval for his job performance among likely voters surveyed.

State Navigate conducted the poll Oct. 17-20 by recontacting people who had participated in six earlier Virginia surveys. Those included two statewide polls and three House of Delegates district polls from October 2025, along with an April referendum poll.

State Navigate identifies its sample as 863 likely voters and reports a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points.

Early in-person voting ends Oct. 31. Election Day is Nov. 3.

This post was originally published on The Center Square.

City National Bank BankAtCity.com

Two Fat Butchers ✓
Family Owned & Operated Since 2007
540-635-6900
WarrenCountyVa.com/butcher

Hot Tub Heaven 540-636-1522

Complete Carpet Care 540-636-8718

Royal Oak Computers 540-635-7064

Aadvanced Driving Instruction 540-635-9015

Virginia Satsang Society ✓
Local spiritual exploration
Open to all
WarrenCountyVa.com/eckankar

Woodbine Farm Market 540-465-2729
Farm to Market on Main Downtown Front Royal

Mountain Mystic 540-635-6318
On Second Thought 540-465-2655
Dusty’s Country Store 540-522-5083

Shenandoah Valley Golf Club 540-636-4653

BS Build/Remodel/Handyman 540-551-2673

Berryville Hardware True Value Berryville 540-955-1900

AireServ 540-551-8312
Dave’s Diversified Services 540-636-3396

Christoff Construction 703-895-7711

Sonus Technologies 540-364-6910

Hillbilly’s Bentonville Junkyard 540-636-2671

A1A Lawncare Services 540-636-9002
Pacific Landscaping 540-313-2721
Conway Lawn Care 540-975-2313

Belle Grove Plantation 540-869-2028
Cedar Creek Battlefield 540-869-2064

Shear Elegance 540-622-8085
Spicewood Flats 540-635-8979

Hamrick’s 540-631-0666
Peak Roofing Contractors 703-753-4585

Hidden Springs Senior Living 540-636-2008

Morrison Excavating ✓
Frederick, Warren, Clarke areas
Richard Morrison 540-327-6716
WarrenCountyVa.com/septic

Tony’s Tires 540-551-0922

S&S Tobacco 540-622-6845

Dan McDermott 540-305-3000